This game really shouldn't be surprising.
Here are teams' 2016 ratings, five- and two-year percentile averages and rankings changes.
Team 2016 class Rk 5-year avg
(2016) Rk Change in
5-year Rk 2-year avg
(2016) Rk Change in
2-year Rk
Alabama 98.7% 1 98.2% 1 0 97.3% 1 0
Ohio State 97.9% 2 95.5% 4 0 93.5% 5 4
USC 97.7% 3 97.5% 2 0 96.4% 2 0
Georgia 97.7% 4 94.0% 6 0 92.8% 7 3
Florida State 97.7% 5 96.3% 3 0 96.3% 3 0
Auburn 96.7% 6 94.9% 5 2 94.2% 4 1
LSU 96.6% 7 93.9% 7 -2 92.5% 8 -1
Clemson 96.3% 8 91.6% 14 0 92.9% 6 6
Ole Miss 96.2% 9 85.9% 20 1 89.0% 15 6
Michigan 95.5% 10 92.9% 9 2 89.1% 14 0
Texas 94.4% 11 92.4% 11 -2 91.3% 12 3
Tennessee 94.3% 12 90.4% 15 -2 92.4% 9 -3
Notre Dame 93.9% 13 93.8% 8 2 92.0% 10 1
Texas A&M 92.6% 14 92.5% 10 8 90.2% 13 -5
Michigan State 92.5% 15 83.9% 21 3 88.0% 18 4
Florida 91.0% 16 92.3% 12 -4 86.3% 20 -7
Baylor 91.0% 17 74.9% 30 9 79.9% 27 5
Miami 89.8% 18 88.6% 17 2 86.0% 21 -2
UCLA 89.7% 19 92.2% 13 3 91.7% 11 -7
Oklahoma 89.3% 20 88.7% 16 -4 88.8% 16 0
Penn State 89.2% 21 79.5% 26 1 88.1% 17 3
Oregon 87.5% 22 87.3% 19 -2 86.5% 19 4
Arizona State 87.2% 23 77.6% 28 7 84.9% 22 2
TCU 87.1% 24 72.0% 35 3 77.1% 31 18
Mississippi State 86.5% 25 77.9% 27 2 82.8% 23 6
http://www.sbnation.com/college-foo...ge-football-recruiting-improvement-tcu-baylor