50,000 simulations can't be wrong, right?
Playoff Simulation: Why Oklahoma is national title favorite
John Ewing, Special for FootballFour.com12:03 a.m. EST December 4, 2015
Prediction Machine's Director of Research andAnalytics, John Ewing, takes a look at what the College Football Playoffs could look like through 50,000 simulations of the top four teams in the College Football Playoff committee ranking.
Semifinals
No. 1 seed Clemson vs. No. 4 seed Iowa
Clemson wins 72.0% of the time by an average score of 28-21.
No. 2 seed Alabama vs. No. 3 seed Oklahoma
Oklahoma wins 59.7% of the time by an average score of 29-27.
National Championship
No. 1 seed Clemson vs. No. 3 seed Oklahoma
Oklahoma wins 71.7% of the time by an average score of 36-28.
Odds for each team to advance to and win the championship: Clemson (22.2%), Iowa (4.2%), Alabama (27.0%), Oklahoma (46.6%)
(Much more at the link):
http://www.usatoday.com/story/sport...ation-clemson-oklahoma-alabama-iowa/76705144/
Playoff Simulation: Why Oklahoma is national title favorite
John Ewing, Special for FootballFour.com12:03 a.m. EST December 4, 2015
Prediction Machine's Director of Research andAnalytics, John Ewing, takes a look at what the College Football Playoffs could look like through 50,000 simulations of the top four teams in the College Football Playoff committee ranking.
Semifinals
No. 1 seed Clemson vs. No. 4 seed Iowa
Clemson wins 72.0% of the time by an average score of 28-21.
No. 2 seed Alabama vs. No. 3 seed Oklahoma
Oklahoma wins 59.7% of the time by an average score of 29-27.
National Championship
No. 1 seed Clemson vs. No. 3 seed Oklahoma
Oklahoma wins 71.7% of the time by an average score of 36-28.
Odds for each team to advance to and win the championship: Clemson (22.2%), Iowa (4.2%), Alabama (27.0%), Oklahoma (46.6%)
(Much more at the link):
http://www.usatoday.com/story/sport...ation-clemson-oklahoma-alabama-iowa/76705144/