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ESPN's UTerus/Oklahoma Playoff & Natty odds... (this is amazing)

sooner_steamroll

Sooner starter
Oct 28, 2003
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Somewhere some penis who writes for Orangebloods just ejaculated...

@mrbeaver ... please lettuce know if they've all had their circle jerk to this article yet.
beaver GIF


https://www.espn.com/college-footba...32/the-20-teams-make-college-football-playoff

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Texas

Last year's record: 5-7

Chance to make playoff: 17.4%

Chance to win national title: 1.6%

Toughest test: Sept. 10 vs. Alabama. ESPN's FPI loves Texas because of the offensive talent it returns, and this is the only game it doesn't give the Longhorns more than a 50% chance to win. This is the true barometer of how wide the gap is between Texas and the playoff.

What the committee will like: A Big 12 title. Sounds obvious, but Texas hasn't done it since 2009, the program's longest drought in school history. The committee would overlook a loss to Bama if the Longhorns can beat the likes of Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Baylor en route to a league title. It could mean the difference in a debate against a one-loss Notre Dame that doesn't have a conference title.

What the committee won't like: Besides another loss to Kansas? More subpar defense. Yes, the committee has absolutely forgiven lousy defense in the past (See: 2018 Oklahoma), but the Sooners had the No. 1 offense in the nation to compensate for it. Texas has allowed at least 400 yards per game in each of the past three seasons, including last year's 426 yards per game -- the fifth most in program history. Last year's run defense ranked 114th in the FBS, allowing 202 yards on the ground per game, plus 5.2 yards per carry -- the second worst in school history.


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Oklahoma

Last year's record: 11-2

Chance to make playoff: 11.3%

Chance to win national title: 0.9%

Toughest test: Oct. 8 vs. Texas. The Sooners get both Baylor and Oklahoma State at home, so this neutral-site game against their rival remains the biggest coin toss. If OU doesn't win, it still has to face the two teams that played for the league title last fall.

What the committee will like: A more balanced team. With offensive coordinator Jeff Lebby reuniting with quarterback Dillon Gabriel, and a veteran defensive staff in coach Brent Venables and coordinator Ted Roof, Oklahoma could be progressing toward a more complete team in spite of the offensive star power it lost.

What the committee won't like: Unconvincing wins against unheralded opponents. Last fall, OU beat Tulane 40-35. It needed a last-second field goal to beat West Virginia at home. And the Sooners trailed Kansas by double digits twice. Not every game has to be a lopsided win, but OU has to leave no doubt it's the better team against unranked opponents.
 
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