Welcome back
I am no longer adding the Dream Preview podcast for NFL. I cannot stand listening to their awful info. They miss on so many of their top bets and seem to just play the large underdogs, which is the wrong year to do that.
So below, adding the CFB pod, bc AJ and Taylor both hit their Best Bets last week.
Taylor missed the total and WKU pick to go 2-2 last week with an FIU backdoor cover against.
AJ hit his 3star, missed Hawaii pick (with bad info, HAW QB didnt play), Fresno St bad beat, NEV scored with 8 secs left to lose by 1 but got his total. so 2-2
GAMES TO WATCH:
MICH -4.5 @ MSU: AJ thinks the line should be 3 points. MSU is bad v the pass. Taylor says Michigan mostly runs, MICH QB has only thrown 5 passing TDs. Taylor likes MSU +4.5, both like the under as long as it doesnt go over the key 51.
Ole Miss +2.5 @ AUB: Favorite has switched since the open line. Taylor says Auburn is going to try to run and sit on the ball. Doesnt like either side, but leans the under bc of Auburn keep away. AJ likes Auburn A LOT. Liked them more at the +2.5 before it switched. Ole Miss has 3rd worst defense in SEC. Matt Corral is bad on the road, his two worst games so far. His passer rating drops 50 pts on the road. Thinks Bo Nix is coming into his own, coming off a bye week, should be in AUB favor.
GA -14 v. FLA: Georgia's last real test before SEC champ. FLA gave up 49 last week. Not good on D. Too many turnovers. AJ also doesnt like the under bc he thinks defensive TDs will be scored. Closest game has been 17 pts against UGA. Bennett struggled last year, and maybe it is kept close if he is the starter? Taylor says everyone and al $$ on GA...dont overthink it. AJ hammered this line, thinks GA could win by 4 TDs.
Best Bet - Tay - Pitt -9 - Against MIA. Their ability to score is huge here. I think they will outpace MIA. Kenny Pickett is being pushed for Heisman, he needs to put up videogame numbers. (AJ not opposed, but likes the total o60 and leans Pitt)
Best Bet - AJ - Ohio St -18.5 - This OSU offense has come together. Penn St has a bad QB situation with a hurt Clifford. OSU 41.5 ppg outscored opp since ORE loss. First offense in Top 50 Penn st will play, defense over-rated. Tay thinks Buckeyes get style pts.
2star - Tay - MSU +4.5 - At home, like said above. MICH will have to win to throw the football, and likes it being closer to a FG game and win outright. AJ doesnt have a good feel, so abstaining.
2star - AJ - ISU -7 - @WVU, Just a bad matchup for WVU. Not a very good team. TTU was beat up and took adv, but have fallen flat. ISU will not let you run, and WVU is giving up all the passing yards. 112th in the country. Brock Purdy in Oct, is a thing. Tay likes it.
1star - Tay - Purdue +7.5 - Doesn't think they win @NEB, but thinks NEB just isnt that good. Similar to MSU/MICH and 7.5 was too much. Thinks it stays a 1 score. AJ does not disagree
1star - AJ - Rutgers -1.5 - @ILL, fading both sides of the 9OT game. Illinois QB done for the season. Illinois QBs suck. 138 QBs, Peters is 137 out of 138 for comp % and he is behind a triple option QB. Gross play, but feels like a good spot against a bad team.
Total - Tay - FIU@MARSH u65 - Marshall will score, but FIU is not good at all on offense. Only worried about Marshall covering by themselves. AJ would play team total under 21.5 for FIU. Safer play there, and Marshall could put up 60.
Total - AJ - UNC/ND o62.5 - ND will be without their best player in safety. Sam Howell played best game v. MIA, off a bye week, big matchup. Well game-planned going in, ND went over 30 pts last 2 weeks. ND pass defense should be easier. Lots of passes in this game, higher tempo as both teams in top 35 there. Taylor has nothing on this.
I am no longer adding the Dream Preview podcast for NFL. I cannot stand listening to their awful info. They miss on so many of their top bets and seem to just play the large underdogs, which is the wrong year to do that.
So below, adding the CFB pod, bc AJ and Taylor both hit their Best Bets last week.
Taylor missed the total and WKU pick to go 2-2 last week with an FIU backdoor cover against.
AJ hit his 3star, missed Hawaii pick (with bad info, HAW QB didnt play), Fresno St bad beat, NEV scored with 8 secs left to lose by 1 but got his total. so 2-2
GAMES TO WATCH:
MICH -4.5 @ MSU: AJ thinks the line should be 3 points. MSU is bad v the pass. Taylor says Michigan mostly runs, MICH QB has only thrown 5 passing TDs. Taylor likes MSU +4.5, both like the under as long as it doesnt go over the key 51.
Ole Miss +2.5 @ AUB: Favorite has switched since the open line. Taylor says Auburn is going to try to run and sit on the ball. Doesnt like either side, but leans the under bc of Auburn keep away. AJ likes Auburn A LOT. Liked them more at the +2.5 before it switched. Ole Miss has 3rd worst defense in SEC. Matt Corral is bad on the road, his two worst games so far. His passer rating drops 50 pts on the road. Thinks Bo Nix is coming into his own, coming off a bye week, should be in AUB favor.
GA -14 v. FLA: Georgia's last real test before SEC champ. FLA gave up 49 last week. Not good on D. Too many turnovers. AJ also doesnt like the under bc he thinks defensive TDs will be scored. Closest game has been 17 pts against UGA. Bennett struggled last year, and maybe it is kept close if he is the starter? Taylor says everyone and al $$ on GA...dont overthink it. AJ hammered this line, thinks GA could win by 4 TDs.
Best Bet - Tay - Pitt -9 - Against MIA. Their ability to score is huge here. I think they will outpace MIA. Kenny Pickett is being pushed for Heisman, he needs to put up videogame numbers. (AJ not opposed, but likes the total o60 and leans Pitt)
Best Bet - AJ - Ohio St -18.5 - This OSU offense has come together. Penn St has a bad QB situation with a hurt Clifford. OSU 41.5 ppg outscored opp since ORE loss. First offense in Top 50 Penn st will play, defense over-rated. Tay thinks Buckeyes get style pts.
2star - Tay - MSU +4.5 - At home, like said above. MICH will have to win to throw the football, and likes it being closer to a FG game and win outright. AJ doesnt have a good feel, so abstaining.
2star - AJ - ISU -7 - @WVU, Just a bad matchup for WVU. Not a very good team. TTU was beat up and took adv, but have fallen flat. ISU will not let you run, and WVU is giving up all the passing yards. 112th in the country. Brock Purdy in Oct, is a thing. Tay likes it.
1star - Tay - Purdue +7.5 - Doesn't think they win @NEB, but thinks NEB just isnt that good. Similar to MSU/MICH and 7.5 was too much. Thinks it stays a 1 score. AJ does not disagree
1star - AJ - Rutgers -1.5 - @ILL, fading both sides of the 9OT game. Illinois QB done for the season. Illinois QBs suck. 138 QBs, Peters is 137 out of 138 for comp % and he is behind a triple option QB. Gross play, but feels like a good spot against a bad team.
Total - Tay - FIU@MARSH u65 - Marshall will score, but FIU is not good at all on offense. Only worried about Marshall covering by themselves. AJ would play team total under 21.5 for FIU. Safer play there, and Marshall could put up 60.
Total - AJ - UNC/ND o62.5 - ND will be without their best player in safety. Sam Howell played best game v. MIA, off a bye week, big matchup. Well game-planned going in, ND went over 30 pts last 2 weeks. ND pass defense should be easier. Lots of passes in this game, higher tempo as both teams in top 35 there. Taylor has nothing on this.
