There are other ways, but the most obvious, least complicated would look like this.:`
Ohio State and LSU win out.
Most likely to happen, because of the general weakness of all but one in the ACC, Clemson wins out. I doubt that South Carolina beating Clemson would help. That would likely get two SEC teams into the CFP. I believe that even though OU is behind Alabama, if both win out, OU would go over the CT minus Tua. And 12-1 Oklahoma ought to advance over 11-1 Alabama minus Tua.
The big issues are two. The big two and likely the big three have to win out. If Penn State beats Ohio State, and both end with one loss, they are likely ahead of us. Same if Georgia is a one win SEC champion. LSU and Georgia are both in ahead of Oklahoma. If form holds and both LSU and Ohio State stay undefeated, then OU can get in by playing great and then passing both Pac 12 teams.
The bad news is that Utah and Oregon play Arizona and Arizona St this weekend, respectively. One has lost four straight, the other five in a row. Still think ASU might just make it interesting at home against the Ducks. We'll see. Zona also at homseems less likely. The week before the CCG, Oregon hosts Oregon State. The Beavers are better than they've been in a while, but would be hard pressed to win in Eugene. Utah ends with Colorado, who has lost five of their last six.
If one of those ends with an upset, then the Sooners have a chance. If not, then a Ute win over Oregon in the CCG would likely be better. The Utes lost at USC 30-23.
The ACC Coastal champ is likely to come from one of three teams with two conference losses already: Virginia Tech, Virginia and Pitt. VaTech controls their own destiny. They host Pitt this weekend and then go to UVA to end the season. The Cavs only have that game left on their conference schedule. They play Liberty this weekend, also at home.
After Pitt plays VaTech this weekend, they host Boston College to end the regular season. They only make the CCG with two wins and some luck. They already lost to Virginia early in the year, so they only get in if they win two and VaTech beats Virginia.
All that, to say that one small possibility for OU, would be if the Coastal champ were to beat Clemson. My guess is that Virginia Tech would pose the toughest competition. We'll see.
Things aren't looking good. When the committee put OU 9th, the task got tougher. Not likely, but still possible. OU needs to play great in three straight wins, to have a chance.
Ohio State and LSU win out.
Most likely to happen, because of the general weakness of all but one in the ACC, Clemson wins out. I doubt that South Carolina beating Clemson would help. That would likely get two SEC teams into the CFP. I believe that even though OU is behind Alabama, if both win out, OU would go over the CT minus Tua. And 12-1 Oklahoma ought to advance over 11-1 Alabama minus Tua.
The big issues are two. The big two and likely the big three have to win out. If Penn State beats Ohio State, and both end with one loss, they are likely ahead of us. Same if Georgia is a one win SEC champion. LSU and Georgia are both in ahead of Oklahoma. If form holds and both LSU and Ohio State stay undefeated, then OU can get in by playing great and then passing both Pac 12 teams.
The bad news is that Utah and Oregon play Arizona and Arizona St this weekend, respectively. One has lost four straight, the other five in a row. Still think ASU might just make it interesting at home against the Ducks. We'll see. Zona also at homseems less likely. The week before the CCG, Oregon hosts Oregon State. The Beavers are better than they've been in a while, but would be hard pressed to win in Eugene. Utah ends with Colorado, who has lost five of their last six.
If one of those ends with an upset, then the Sooners have a chance. If not, then a Ute win over Oregon in the CCG would likely be better. The Utes lost at USC 30-23.
The ACC Coastal champ is likely to come from one of three teams with two conference losses already: Virginia Tech, Virginia and Pitt. VaTech controls their own destiny. They host Pitt this weekend and then go to UVA to end the season. The Cavs only have that game left on their conference schedule. They play Liberty this weekend, also at home.
After Pitt plays VaTech this weekend, they host Boston College to end the regular season. They only make the CCG with two wins and some luck. They already lost to Virginia early in the year, so they only get in if they win two and VaTech beats Virginia.
All that, to say that one small possibility for OU, would be if the Coastal champ were to beat Clemson. My guess is that Virginia Tech would pose the toughest competition. We'll see.
Things aren't looking good. When the committee put OU 9th, the task got tougher. Not likely, but still possible. OU needs to play great in three straight wins, to have a chance.
