Money Makes BIG Move on OU-TT Odds

[Tollboothmgr]

Vegas opened OU -27, but that's now dropped to -23 after big, early plus-money moved the needle 4 in the road dog direction. gotta think folks saw that as too big of a cover with the common perception of a high-octane but defensively-challenged team. i'd argue OU is indeed still a TD machine but has a work-in-progress-but-improving defense... Last week, Tech went on the road to tucson and got doubled-up by sumlin's wildcats 28-14 in an offensive no-show for tx-tech. losing your best player will do that, as when QB alan bowman went out with an injury that will sideline him for a while, including the trip to norman. now they go on the road again to play a team that hasn't dropped-off offensively under the charge of transfer qb jalen hurts, and is an offense that is significantly better than Arizona's, even with Kahlil Tate. Combine that with TT starting a back up on the road playing OU's improved defense. my guess is 51-24. covers the spread and the over (70.5)

 

[humblesooner]

Curious question, as I don't make legal bets on FB games.
You place a bet at -27 and a week later the line falls to -23, is your bet locked in at -27?
To take advantage of the drop, would you have to place a second bet?

 

[Tollboothmgr]

Curious question, as I don't make legal bets on FB games.
You place a bet at -27 and a week later the line falls to -23, is your bet locked in at -27?
To take advantage of the drop, would you have to place a second bet?

if you took tech when they were +27 you're locked in... but lets say you bet again with the new line now at -23 only you take OU and give the points this time. it's called "middling" a bet. if OU wins 24-0 then you win both bets. good times

 

[humblesooner]

if you took tech when they were +27 you're locked in.

I figured that was the case. That is really a big swing in just a couple of days. The Bookies usually have a good fix on where the line should be within a point or so.

 

[Tollboothmgr]

I figured that was the case. That is really a big swing in just a couple of days. The Bookies usually have a good fix on where the line should be within a point or so.

you're absolutely right humble. usually just 1/2 pt or 1 pt adjustments, but when they put out a big spread like OU-TT and they're flooded with bets on the dog then they re-evaluate. too much risk. all they want is to break even on every game and keep the juice. in fact, the vegas line is just designed to get you to bet, not predict the actual winning margin.

 

[veritas59]

Where do you see -23? Everywhere I look, it's -27.